Last Updated:February 10, 2026, 15:59 IST
Estonia's intelligence chief says Russia will not attack NATO soon but is rebuilding forces and expanding ammunition production, aiming to hinder Europe and marginalise the US

Estonia's head of the service, Kaupo Rosin (X)
Estonia’s foreign intelligence service on Tuesday said Russia had no intention to launch a military attack on any NATO members this year or next but it was racing to rebuild its forces.
“(Europe) must invest in defence and internal security, so that…in the future Russia would conclude it has no chance against NATO countries," the head of the service, Kaupo Rosin, told reporters," said head of the service, Kaupo Rosin, after releasing the annual report.
“We see that the Russian leadership is very concerned about…European rearmament, they see that Europe might be able to conduct independent military action against Russia in two to three years," he said, adding that Russia’s goal at present is to “delay and hinder" this.
Reuters quoted the intelligence service stating that ammunition production is expanding so rapidly that Russia will be able to stockpile supplies for future wars while continuing to fight in Ukraine.
Any Russian attack on Estonia would involve drones “on land, in the air and at sea, simultaneously across Estonia’s entire territory," it added.
On Russia’s relations with the US, the Estonian intelligence said Kremlin regards Washington as its principal global adversary though it feigns readiness to cooperate with the aim to secure removal of US sanctions.
“This change stemmed from the Kremlin’s ambition to exploit the new U.S. administration to restore bilateral relations and pursue a settlement that would formalise Ukraine’s defeat," it said.
“Despite this illusory thaw, Russia’s aims remain unchanged: it seeks to marginalise the United States and NATO and to reshape Europe’s security architecture according to Moscow’s vision," it added.
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First Published:
February 10, 2026, 15:59 IST
News world Kremlin Believes Europe Will Take Military Action Against Russia In 2-3 Years: Estonia
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