What Will Happen If Iran Exits NPT? Will Saudi Arabia, Egypt Also Chase Nukes? | Explained

7 hours ago

Last Updated:June 16, 2025, 18:38 IST

The exit of a major country from the NPT could set a bad precedent, prompting nations like Saudi Arabia, UAE and Egypt to declare their own nuclear ambitions if Iran proceeds

The NPT states that a country can withdraw only if it faces an “extraordinary event” related to its nuclear security. (Representative/AP)

The NPT states that a country can withdraw only if it faces an “extraordinary event” related to its nuclear security. (Representative/AP)

In a major escalation, Iran—currently embroiled in tensions with Israel—is preparing legislation to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei confirmed that the Parliament is drafting a bill in response to what Tehran describes as intolerable conditions.

Baghaei reiterated Iran’s official stance against weapons of mass destruction, in line with a religious decree by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. The proposed move comes amid growing regional instability and international scrutiny over Iran’s nuclear activities.

India has maintained a distance from the NPT since its inception. In this context, Iran’s possible withdrawal from the NPT carries significant geopolitical implications.

The NPT, established in 1970, has been signed by 187 countries, prohibiting them from developing nuclear weapons but allowing the use of atomic energy for peaceful purposes under the supervision of the Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

What Could Be It’s Impact

As soon as it withdraws, Iran will be free to openly develop nuclear weapons, potentially causing major concern for Israel.Israel may seize the opportunity to launch strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, escalating the ongoing conflict.The exit of a major country from the NPT could set a negative precedent, weakening the treaty’s global influence.Countries like Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Egypt might respond by announcing their own nuclear ambitions if Iran proceeds.A parallel can be drawn with North Korea, which exited the NPT in 2003 and is now believed to possess nuclear weapons.The restrictions on uranium enrichment could be lifted, and any country may choose to deny inspections by the IAEA.IAEA’s monitoring would end, leaving the international community in the dark about Iran’s nuclear activities.Nations like Russia and China could oppose stringent measures against Iran, potentially disrupting international consensus.

Why Leaving NPT Could Backfire On Iran

The treaty states that a country can withdraw only if it faces an “extraordinary event" related to its nuclear security. If Iran does exit, it could face serious repercussions. Previous investigations by the Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the UN Security Council could be revived. There may also be mounting pressure on Russia and China to halt nuclear cooperation with Iran. Moreover, the US, Israel, and European nations could gain greater legitimacy and freedom to take military action against Tehran.

What Do The Experts Say

Experts believe that despite Iran’s threats, it is unlikely to actually leave the NPT. Tehran understands that withdrawing could give the US and its allies a justification for military action. Moreover, the UN Security Council could impose even harsher sanctions, severely damaging Iran’s already fragile economy. Such a move could also isolate Iran internationally, making trade and diplomatic relations with other nations nearly impossible.

Location :

Iran

First Published:

News world What Will Happen If Iran Exits NPT? Will Saudi Arabia, Egypt Also Chase Nukes? | Explained

Read Full Article at Source