Harris leads Trump nationally and in key battleground states ahead of Labour Day

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are all set to face each other in the US Presidential elections in November 2024. The Democratic Presidential candidate and Vice-President Kamala Harris has gained a slight edge over Republican candidate Donald Trump in both national and key battleground state polls.

Kamala Harris is now leading Trump within the margin of error in several critical states, reflecting a shift in momentum since Joe Biden's exit from the race on July 21, according to polls released ahead of Labour Day 2024.

Labour Day, the first Monday of September, marks the start of the final phase of the US presidential election campaign. It’s when many voters begin to pay more attention to political news and developments.

Kamala Harris has a slim advantage over Donald Trump. But Trump will still give her a fight, reports Politico.

Labour Day is a critical point in the US elections, and Kamala Harris has reached a slim advantage over Donald Trump. But the former president would still be well within striking distance if the election were held today.

KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES

Harris has pulled ahead of Trump within the margin of error in crucial states like Georgia (50% - 47%), Michigan (49% - 47%), Nevada (50% - 46), and Pennsylvania (51% - 48%).

She's also leading Trump beyond the margin of error in Wisconsin with 53% - 44%.

However, Harris and Trump are tied in Arizona and North Carolina with 48% and 49% respectively.

Earlier, Ipsos polls also found Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 42% to 40% in the seven swing states where the 2020 election was closest: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

The margin of error shows how close a survey result is likely to be to the true value. For example, with a 3% margin of error, if the survey were repeated 100 times, 95 of those times the result would be within 3% of the actual value, according to Pew Research.

NATIONAL POLLS SHOW HARRIS WITH ADVANTAGE

Recent national polls largely show Harris with small advantages within the margins of error.

Polls from The Wall Street Journal, Quinnipiac, and Suffolk/USA Today also show Harris leading with 48%, 49%, and 48%, respectively.

In comparison, Trump holds 47%, 48%, and 43% in those same polls.

This indicates a significant shift in momentum since Biden exited the race, with Harris now deemed a more trusted leader by voters.

Kamala Harris has officially secured the Democratic presidential nomination on August 6 at the Democratic Convention (DNC), held from August 19 to August 22. She has also selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate.

TRUMP NEAR-CONSTANT 47% IN POLLS

Trump, meanwhile, is consistently holding steady at 47% nationally in The Wall Street Journal poll, 47% in the EPIC-MRA Michigan poll, and 47% in both Georgia and Michigan, according to Bloomberg/Morning Consult.

This matches his popular vote share in the 2020 election, which he lost, and is close to the 46% he received in the 2016 election, which he won.

Earlier, the polls also showed a sharp contrast to the numbers during Biden's re-election campaign, where he struggled to gain traction in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina.

Trump appeared to be leading President Biden by margins ranging from 2% to 8% points in key battleground states, according to a Wall Street Journal poll.

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